February 23, 2018, 17:31
Saudi Arabia may very well the next
Middle East country with nuclear power.
The Kingdom is set to strike a deal
with the United States for the purchase of nuclear reactors, despite
concerns over Saudi refusal to accept restrictions against the proliferation of
nuclear weapons.
Crown Prince Mohamed Bin Salman,
who is the de facto ruler of the country, has ambitious plans to diversify the
country’s energy source and is in the market to purchase nuclear power
reactors. The potential for lucrative deals is too good to be missed and the
Trump administration is thought to be mulling over loosening US law to win
Saudi contracts, worth billions. The Kingdom has refused to be bound by
stringent US regulations that restrict reprocessing and enriching uranium for
the production of nuclear weapons.
With competitors like Russia and
China waiting in the wings, Trump is keen to strike a deal with the Saudi’s and
breathe new life into the American nuclear industry.
Finalists to build nuclear power
stations along the Kingdom’s desolate Arabian Gulf strip will be announced in
the coming months, but it’s not certain if the US will be the one to strike the
deal. Israel, despite having its own nuclear arsenal, is strongly opposed to
any other country in the Middle East acquiring nuclear weapons and with
alliances constantly shifting in the region it may try to derail any deal.
US policy also seeks to limit
nuclear weapons proliferation especially in the Middle East but Trump may have
no option other than to lower restrictions with Saudi Arabia.
Although the Saudi’s have insisted
that their programme will be peaceful, they have also refused to rule out the
right to enrich uranium to weapons grade. A senior Saudi official was quoted by
the Wall Street Journal admitting as much. “I’m not saying Saudi
would want to enrich uranium tomorrow or anytime soon but they don’t want to be
committed to anything that bans them from doing it. It is quite political,” the
unnamed senior official said.
His comments have stirred
speculation that one of the purpose of the nuclear programme is to compete with
Iran and maintain an option to develop nuclear weapons. With some overlapping
technology it would be in a strong position to move in that direction if the
Kingdom desired so.
It’s not clear to what extent Trump
will be able to convince Congress to agree to the deal. Under US law any export
of nuclear technology involves signing a non-proliferation document known as a
123 agreement. The UAE signed one in 2009 which is said to be the most
restrictive and has become as the gold standard.
Saudi’s, however, have reject the
gold standard and the Trump administration must now come out with a new plan
that will not completely block Riyash’s path to acquiring nuclear weapons.
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