SEPTEMBER
17, 2019
- Countries which are ready to deploy any kind of
weapons suggested by the U.S. will turn themselves to real targets for
Russia.
Submitted by Adomas Abromaitis…
In these latter days the issue of
the risk of nuclear escalation in a non-nuclear conflict and war by mistake is
acutely on the agenda.
Obviously, strategic stability is
in deep crisis. According to the report (http://svop.ru/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/REPORT_Eng_1.pdf), which is based on the results of a situational
analysis directed by Sergei A. Karaganov and held at the Russian Foreign
Ministry, “it would be a mistake to think that the new military-strategic landscape
is stable.
From author’s point of view, the
main threat comes from a risk of military conflict between nuclear powers,
including an unintended nuclear or non-nuclear conflict, which can subsequently
escalate into a global nuclear war, with the probability of such escalation now
being higher than before.
According to the report, it is
clear that Russia is convinced that the U.S. has been consistently destroying
its traditional architecture – the system of nuclear arms control agreements,
again considering options to use nuclear weapons in a conventional conflict for
winning the war, and refusing to begin serious negotiations to strengthen
strategic stability.
The author is sure that this
creates a vacuum in the field of nuclear weapons and lowers the threshold for
their use at a time when the risk of an armed clash between nuclear powers in
the current political and technological situation remains quite high.
As for Europe is concerned, the
report states that more serious risks of inadvertent military clash come from
the U.S.’s continues efforts to build up its military infrastructure, including
missile defences and drones, in Eastern Europe, its plans to increase its
low-yield nuclear weapons arsenal and put those weapons on strategic delivery
systems in order to neutralize the Russian military threat.
Numerous the U.S. proposals to
strengthen its military presence and deployment of weapons in the territories
of Poland and the Baltic States clearly indicate that the U.S. allows the
possibility of a regional military conflict with Russia in Europe and is taking
measures to prevent Russia from winning it by using of tactical nuclear weapons
or conventionally-armed medium-range missiles.
The author consider that this is a
rather dangerous tendency: for Russia, the use of tactical nuclear weapons or
conventionally-armed medium-range missiles against it would mean a strategic
strike and would inevitably trigger a nuclear second strike against the U.S. or
those countries which deployed its nuclear weapons.
Thus, countries which are ready to
deploy any kind of weapons suggested by the U.S. will turn themselves to real
targets for Russia.
Nuclear war in Europe is no more a
ghostly threat, but a very real one.
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