Poll Shows Kamala Harris Overwhelmingly
Likely to Be the Next Democratic Presidential Nominee
Eric Zuesse, December 15, 2021
The Politico and Morning Consult Poll, published on
December 15th,
shows the following question and its answers, among the 1,998 U.S. registered
voters sampled:
[Question #5] If Joe Biden did not run for president
in the 2024 election, for whom would you vote in a Democratic presidential
primary? (N=916 [registered Democratic Party voters responding]) Cory Booker
42=5% Pete Buttigieg 101=11% Kamala Harris 286=31% Elizabeth Warren 74=8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 70=8% Gavin Newsom 24=3% Roy Cooper 6=1% Eric Adams
6=1% Gina Raimondo 6=1% Amy Klobuchar 27=3% Someone else (please specify) 20=2%
Not sure 230=25% I would not vote 23=3%
Here was the poll’s methodology:
Methodology: This poll was conducted between December
11-13, 2021 among a sample of 1998 Registered Voters. The interviews were
conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of
Registered Voters based on gender by age, educational attainment, race, marital
status, home ownership, race by educational attainment, 2020 presidential vote,
and region. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or
minus 2 percentage points.
In other words: Kamala Harris, at the present time,
is, amongst registered Democratic Party voters, the 2024 candidate
top-preferred (#1) by approximately 31% of Democratic Party primary voters. #2
is tied at 8% each for Warren and for Ocasio-Cortez, who would be splitting the
progressive-vote if both of them run. Yet, still, if only one of those two run,
then there wouldn’t be more than 16% support for that candidate, at the present
time. Since that 16% is only half of the number of voters who are
top-preferring Harris, Harris does, at present, appear overwhelmingly likely to
be the next Democratic Party nominee if Biden won’t be running then for
re-election.


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