Chris Kanthan -- CHINA’S DEMOGRAPHIC COLLAPSE – A CRAZY AND IMPLAUSIBLE THEORY

 

CHINA’S DEMOGRAPHIC COLLAPSE – A CRAZY AND IMPLAUSIBLE THEORY

There are numerous extremely popular videos on YouTube about China’s imminent demographic collapse. People like Peter Zeihan have popularized the claim that China will lose half its population by year 2050. Is that possible or probable? Simple demographic math will debunk this sensational claim. Let’s take a look.

Who will be dead by 2050?

So, how many Chinese will be dead by 2050 … i.e., in the next 28 years? Well, China’s life expectancy is now 78 years. Let’s assume that it stays the same (although it will likely go up).

In 2050: Who will be 78 years of age or older?

Answer: That will be people who are now (in year 2022) 50 years or older.

Next Question: How many people are now 50 or older? The answer comes from the population pyramid — about 33% of the population.

So, right away, we see the problem with the doom-and-gloom predictions. But the anti-China people also ignore something else: BIRTHS.

How many babies will be born in the next 28 years?

It’s hard to tell how many babies Chinese will have every year over the next three decades. Here’s the data for births per year over the last decade.

COVID obviously had a big impact, and perhaps the rate will go up after next year. However, let’s be conservative and assume that there will be on the average 10 million births per year.

That means 280 million new babies by year 2050.

CHRIS KANTHAN -- NEW WORLD ORDER 2.0 IS INEVITABLE

 

CHRIS  KANTHAN --  NEW WORLD ORDER 2.0 IS INEVITABLE

The attack on Russia is the biggest geopolitical gamble in America’s history. If it succeeds, America will be the indisputable hegemon of the world, leading to a truly one-world government. On the other hand, if it fails, the American Century and the U.S. dollar’s status as the global currency will collapse unceremoniously. We are living through a momentous and dangerous arc of history.

Time is running out for America

Let’s start with the big picture. America’s preeminence is rapidly fading. The US’ share of global GDP is shrinking, and America’s debt is exploding. How long can the US dollar enjoy its “exorbitant privelege”? Max 10-15 years. America’s democracy is also faltering and the country is deeply divided.

Meanwhile, anti-American forces like China, Russia, and Iran are getting stronger. Russia has hypersonic missiles with multiple nuclear warheads that US missile defense systems cannot stop. China’s GDP is whopping $18 trillion now. And if Europe has peaceful relations with Russia (provider of cheap energy) and China (provider of cheap manufactured goods), the so-called Eurasia will have an economy twice as large as the US’. Even vassal states like Saudi Arabia are now starting to rebel, daring to sell oil for Yuan. Thus, something has to be done.

Plan A: Contain China

The US tried to contain and decouple from China during the Trump administration. However, that failed miserably: USA-China trade was whopping $650 billion in 2021. The next option could have been to isolate China by pulling Russia away from China’s orbit. Sort of like what President Eisenhower did when he invited the Soviet leader Khrushchev to the White House in 1959. (In 1972, Nixon did the divide-and-conquer in the other way by allying with China and isolating the USSR).

Plan B: Crush Russia, Strengthen Dollar

Chris Kanthan -- WORLD WAR III? PUTIN’S GAMBLE AND THE WEST’S PROVOCATIONS

 

WORLD WAR III? PUTIN’S GAMBLE AND THE WEST’S PROVOCATIONS

Putin just raised the nuclear threat on Sunday after some incredible financial sanctions by the West. What is the world hurling towards? World War 3 or just mad posturing by both sides to see who blinks first? Let’s analyze the volatile situation in Ukraine.

Russia invaded Ukraine four days ago and is now on the verge of entering and capturing Kiev (Kyiv), the capital. If that was shocking, the West’s actions over the last 24 hours have been even more shocking. Rather than negotiating peace, the West upped the ante by implementing unthinkable sanctions and moves.

First, the West cut off many Russian banks from SWIFT, the global financial/payment system. Without that, Russian banks will be practically cut off from the world — the only hope being using China’s system, which is not quite mature yet.

Second, and more jarring, was freezing Russian central bank’s foreign exchange reserves — about $300 billion in dollars and Euros. This is just pure theft. Also, this allows Wall Street and London financiers to attack the Russian currency, Ruble, which will likely lose 50-80% of its value on Monday. This will lead to serious inflation and partial collapse of the Russian economy.

What is perplexing is that Europe is not considering the possibility that Putin can cut off all oil and natural gas supplies to Europe. Even is that’s done for a few weeks, the impact will be enormous. Germany relies on Russia for 60% of its energy supplies. Other countries like Austria depend almost entirely on Russia.

All this for Ukraine? Insanity.

Why is Ukraine so important? After all, it’s a poor country with a GDP-per-capita of $3700 — or, about $10 a day. The bottom line here is about Ukraine’s neutrality — if it’s going to join NATO or stay as a neutral buffer between Russia and Europe.

Forgetting the lessons of WW1 and WW2, Europeans are jumping into this conflict. European countries — including Germany — have now said they will supply weapons and even fighter jets to Ukraine; and they have closed their airspace to all Russian civilian planes.

The U.S. doesn’t have much to lose. If Europe and Russia get into wars, it will be just good news for America’s geopolitical ambitions. Divide and Rule. Europe will become weaker, which means stronger dollar and more power for the U.S. After all, this is how the U.S. came to dominate Europe, which destroyed itself twice in WW1 and WW2.

NATO Expansion

In 1990, there were 10 European countries in NATO, which was originally created to protect Europe from the USSR. This relic of Cold War could have been disabled when the Soviet Union collapsed.

In fact,declassified documents of the U.S. National Archives show that the U.S. and European leaders promised in 1990 that NATO would move “not one inch eastward” after the USSR was dismantled. So, what happened?

In 1999 — when Russia was totally pro-US and was run by Yeltsin and other US puppets — NATO added three new countries: Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic. In 2004, NATO added 9 more countries; then two more in 2020.

Rather than befriending Russia and bringing it into the West’s sphere, the West kept treating Russia like an enemy. In 2002, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) treat with Russia. In 2019 and 2020, the U.S. withdrew from the intermediate and long-range treaty as well as the Open Skies Treaty.

The powers-that-be just want Cold War 2.0. From a practical point of view, the West should be making friends with Russia in order to isolate China, which is the real geopolitical, economic, and technology competitor.

But it looks like the globalists want a formidable war: EU + USA against Russia + China.

Ukraine, the Geopolitical Pawn

Ukraine has always been a strategic target for the West and an asset for Russia. Throughout the Cold War, the CIA funded nationalists and Neo-Nazi groups in Ukraine — as in Project Aerodynamic. In the 1990s, Brzezinski — mastermind of the Mujahedeen in Afghanistan — said that stealing Ukraine from Russia would mean essentially decapitating Russia. He suggested that Ukraine should be added to NATO by 2010.

Thus, the U.S. (through George Soros and the State Department) instigated a color revolution in 2004 (“Orange Revolution”) to overthrow the election of a pro-Russia President in Ukraine. He came back after a few years and won another election in 2010. Carl Gershman, the founder of the National Endowment of Democracy (NED) — a CIA front group — wrote in 2013 that “Ukraine is the biggest prize.” Of course, the U.S. orchestrated another coup in Feb 2014 and took over Ukraine.

Putin’s Gamble and Mistake

For Putin, there was just no way that he could allow Ukraine to become a part of NATO. It would mean U.S. missiles within 300 miles from Moscow. That would be like Mexico allowing Chinese missiles and Russian military.

So, what happens next? There are several possibilities:

1. Russia and Ukraine negotiate a peaceful solution. And Ukraine promises to be neutral and not join NATO. This will end the crisis within a few days or weeks.
2. Putin takes over Ukraine, does a regime change, and tries to create a new Ukraine. This will be a long drama, since the U.S. and Europe will be doing their best to sabotage a stable Ukraine.
3. Russia shuts off all oil/gas to Europe and perhaps even goes to war against some European countries in retaliation for sanctions. All hell breaks loose.

Russia’s problem is that it lacks financial and soft power like the West. America and Europe control the world financial systems, world media, and most world politicians.

However, the U.S. may be engaging in a long-term faux pas. The extreme financial sanctions against Russia will only accelerate the creation of an alternate system outside the Western hegemony. China, Russia, Iran and others will double their efforts to free themselves from the clutches of the West by creating a new financial system (with digital currency) and by investing in more formidable weapons.

Thus, 2022 will be the beginning of the demise of … Russia or the American Century.